Bill F.
The draft Fifth Assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) delivers a sharp warning to the people of Australia who are facing a future with more frequent extreme weather events, fires and floods and rising sea levels.
The
report, compiled from the work of more than 600 scientists from 190 countries,
states that it is 95% certain that the rise in global temperature has been
caused by the burning of fossil fuels and the release of greenhouse gases over
the last century, and that this increase has accelerated since 1970.
Air
temperature has risen marginally, although the ten years to 2010 was the
warmest decade on record.
However,
the main impact has been on the oceans which absorb more than 90% of the heat
trapped by greenhouse gases. Arctic ice is disappearing at the rate of 4% per
decade, and glaciers and permafrost regions are also shrinking at an
unprecedented rate. Sea level has risen 19 cm since 1900, with the rate of rise
increasing in the past decade.
Carbon
dioxide absorption into the oceans is causing a rise in acidification that,
along with ocean warming, is already affecting marine life and fish stocks.
What it
means for Australia
As a
country where much of the population, infrastructure and industries are located
around the coastal plains and rivers, the impact on Australia from rising sea
levels could be severe.
For
example, Australian scientists estimate that a rise in sea level of just half a
metre would endanger many coastal roads and marine facilities. A further
increase up to 1.1 metres would threaten more than 250,000 homes. The IPCC
report states that sea levels could rise by 82 cm by the end of the century, or
worse-case, up to 98 cm.
The
report noted that rising temperatures and prolonged hot periods in Australia
would bring more destructive bushfires, and would result in more fatalities due
to heat stress and poor air quality, particularly among the elderly. Other
issues, such as agricultural production and disease control, both human and
animal, would become more critical.
Capitalism
can’t save the planet
The only
way out this mess is to make massive and prolonged reductions in greenhouse gas
emissions, and commence a rapid transition to clean, sustainable sources of
energy.
However,
the fossil fuel monopolies at the heart of global imperialism have other ideas.
They plan to squeeze every last drop of oil and coal out of planet Earth –
their profits come before any consideration of the future for humanity.
They use
miserable puppets like Abbott to obliterate any rational discussion of the
scientific evidence, and to obstruct any initiatives to build new clean energy
industries.
Only a
system that puts people before profits –socialism – can deal with the
transition to a clean energy future.
As for
Australia, there will be hard times, but there will also be struggle as the
people demand action to roll back the worst effects of climate change, to rein
in the fossil fuel monopolies and ultimately expel them, and to re-build the
‘lucky country’.
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