Monday, November 19, 2012

More foreign investment coming to Australian agriculture

Vanguard November 2012 p. 7
by Duncan B.

A lot of attention has been given lately to foreign investment in Australian agriculture. High profile take-overs such as the recent sale of Queensland’s Cubbie Station (below) to a Chinese consortium have generated much controversy.

Although the government insists that the percentage of foreign ownership of agricultural land is small, this is hard to verify. Pressure from farmers and the wider community has forced the Gillard government to finally agree to establish a register of foreign land holding.

Despite the millions of investment dollars already pouring in to Australian agriculture, we have not seen anything yet!

Overseas-owned major financial institutions, such as pension funds and managed investment funds, are looking to invest in agriculture in a big way around the world.

Government-backed corporations from Asia and the Middle East are also investing millions in agriculture in the US, the former Soviet Union, South America and North and Sub-Saharan Africa. They are also looking to Australia as a safe haven for investment.

The recent Australian Grains Industry Conference was addressed by the managing director of a firm which advises large investors where to allocate their money in agriculture. He said that financial institutions have $1.2 trillion to invest in agriculture, and want to raise more than $8 trillion in the next three years.

The global agriculture market is estimated to be worth $6.4 trillion, and is the world’s third-largest market behind the currency and energy markets. The rewards are high for investors. Agriculture has historically generated real returns of 8-10% in developed countries and returns as high as 15-22% in less developed countries. These major investors want to invest in all aspects of agriculture including cropping, livestock operations, agricultural infrastructure and commodity trading operations.

Another speaker at the Grains Conference, the executive chairman of the grain trader Emerald Group said, “Many of the global players are now quite active in Australian grains, seeking access to production, distribution and food assets. Further consolidation will occur until we reach a similar pattern to global oil and mining conglomerates”. He said that the current spate of rapid consolidation and integration of agribusinesses around the world resembled a “rush to grab assets before the music stops.”

His prophetic words were borne out recently when an American agribusiness company, Archer Daniels Midland purchased a 10% share in Australian grain handling company Graincorp. A take-over bid for Graincorp by ADM is considered likely.

Graincorp is seen as the last remaining significant grain company capable of being taken over in Australia, and experts are tipping a bidding war may emerge for Graincorp.

According to the Rural Industries Research and Development Corporation, foreign investors now own half the country’s 23 licensed wheat exporters, half the country’s milk production, 60% of raw sugar production and 40% of Australian red meat production.

There are many factors driving the big capitalists to invest in agriculture. Food security is becoming increasingly important due to world population growth, a developing shortage of agricultural land due to urbanisation, and growing standards of living in countries such as China resulting in greater consumption of meat.

Climate change also threatens a loss of agricultural land and possible population displacement. Australian farmers face being forced off the land as agribusiness monopolies take into their hands ever growing swathes of Australian land; use their connections with the banks and other corporations that farmers have to deal with to impose terms more favourable to themselves; and exercise monopoly control over the marketing of farm products. With these developments, some farmers will be turned into wage workers for the agribusiness giants. Others will be forced to move to the larger towns and cities in search of a livelihood.

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