Ned
K.
In
2015 when the Free Trade Agreement with China was being put in place, the
Australian people were told what a great benefit such an agreement with China
would be for us all.
A
few months later and leading in to 2016, the headlines are different. China is
being blamed for the economic problems of capitalism in Australia. China still
has economic growth of over 6% per annum while the economies of the so-called
developed countries including Australia struggle to achieve economic growth of
3%.
The
mainstream media also say that China's economy may collapse altogether,
implying that it is their fault that the Australian economy lurches from one
crisis to another. The press imply that China for our benefit must keep growing
at a much higher rate than 6% and how dare it possibly decline even further in
growth terms!
Troubled US economy
What
the mainstream media do not splash on the front pages or lead stories in their
news bulletins is that the economy of US imperialism is still in deep trouble.
An
article tucked away in the business section of the Australian on 19 January 2016 by Robert Gottliebsen highlighted
finance capital’s vulnerability to the anarchy of production in the energy
resources sector.
"...(S)ome of the world's greatest
threats in 2016 will be just how deep US non-bank institutions have become
trapped in the American shale oil and emerging economy morasses. While we don't
have the extent of the exposure, huge sums are involved and large amounts will
be lost....The US has developed a complex web of hedge funds, private equity
partnerships and internet lenders that gain their initial impetus lending to
energy stocks and emerging countries, plus trading commodities. Wealthy Americans
who are usually very skilled at moving liabilities on to others to avoid
losses, often own many of the non-bank institutions involved in these
transactions."
The
irony is that the drop in world oil prices has impacted negatively on the
profitability of the shale oil ventures and "the hundreds of billions in
energy loans".
In this situation, the article reports that big US banks such as Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley have increased their "loan loss reserve" as a result of energy loans to the tune of billions. "Morgan Stanley has a whopping $15.9 billion exposure."
You
don't need to be a Rhodes Scholar to see what could happen any day any time -
another crash similar to 2008 with its origins in the finance markets of US
imperialism.
Overproduction at the heart of the oil price
drop
While capitalist media try to blame OPEC or China for the drop in
oil prices, the core issues are overproduction and the anarchy of the
market. The US CNN Money website described US oil production as “defiant”.
It said, “While demand fears are on the rise, the oil crash has
mostly been fueled by a massive supply glut. That excess supply was largely
created by the American shale oil boom.
“U.S. oil production has not taken nearly the hit that many
thought it would. The U.S. pumped an average of 9.35 million barrels per day in
October, down just a bit from the April peak of 9.7 million, according to the
government.
“That hurts oil prices because American production likely needs to
come down to ease the supply glut” (CNN 12/1/16).
US overproduction is likely to be exacerbated by the lifting of
sanction on Iran’s sale of oil to the world market.
CNN’s Money
reported on this development in language dripping with references to
over-production: “Investors remain jittery over the flood of
supply Iran is preparing to unleash on the saturated market in the coming
months after the lifting of Western sanctions.
“Iran's return to the oil market is deepening an already
huge supply glut in the industry.
“The International Energy Agency warned this week that
the world is "drowning" in oil, especially in light of lackluster demand
around the world” (CNN Money
19/1/16).
Blame game detracts from need to socialise production of oil
Perhaps
the strategy of US imperialism is to prepare the people for a new GFC by
blaming China for the state of the imperialists' world economy. New rising
powers on the imperial global economy are never welcomed with open arms by the
prevailing but declining economic power, in this case the US.
The
other message the mainstream media are sending to the Australian people is that
economic crisis is beyond their ability to resolve and eliminate, so grin and
bear it and blame the 'yellow peril'.
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