by Max O.
The US Federal Reserve recently raised by a quarter
percentage point the interest banks charge each other. This generally expected
rate rise had been clamoured for by 'sages' in the financial media who argued
the need for the Federal Reserve to protect monetary credibility by raising the
federal funds rate.
Why has this interest rate rise occurred after years of near
zero interest rates in the US which was ostensibly to stimulate the productive
economy? Because the machinations of the financial system threatens its own
very existence!
Banks excess reserves of money capital
Normally the purpose of a rise in interest rates is to halt
demand for credit and control inflation. Presently the US banking system has no
need to borrow for it has in excess of $2.42 trillion in reserves.
Avariciously investors, searching for new ways to achieve
high returns after the fiasco of the subprime mortgage bubble, have been using
cheap credit to invest in the corporate and junk bond market rather than investing
in the productive economy. US junk bond market more than doubled the volume of issuance
in the years before the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), and in 2013 reached a
record of $361 billion.
However the decline in the productive economy - drop in
sales of manufactured goods, fall off in trade and crash in prices for gas,
metals and oil - is now threatening to undermine the US bond market and
destabilise the whole financial and banking system.
Recently the growing crisis in the US high-yield but
high-risk junk bond market erupted and saw the closing down of three energy
junk bond funds - Lucidus Capital Partners, Stone Lion Capital and Third
Avenue. Their closure was caused by the collapse in oil prices below $40 a
barrel and an avalanche of clients calling in their bond investments that
finance houses could not honour, which caused a fire-sale in the $1.3 trillion
junk bond market.
When the US Federal Reserve reduced interest rates close to
zero and forced down long-term rates it increased enormously the junk bond business;
which are bonds issued by finance houses with high levels of debt and low
credit ratings and therefore a high risk market.
Looking around for emerging countries to exploit
Whilst the US had near zero interest rates bond funds using
cheap credit reached all over the world to find high yield assets to invest in.
Investors were buying securities backed commodities and sovereign debt bonds
from Asia-Pacific and South American markets.
Now investors have lost faith in betting on high risk
financial assets achieving high dividends in these markets, which are full of
insecurity and trepidation. The capitalist world started to shudder when in
August this year the Shanghai stock market steeply dived and losses in stock
markets around globe reached hundreds of billions of dollars.
Seven years after the bankruptcies of the GFC days, this
crisis continues with more casualties occurring from one geographical region to
another, from one business sector to another. The emerging (developing)
countries of the Asia Pacific region who depend on the export of commodities
for their income are now facing a serious brake on their economies.
Money comes home to the masters of the financial universe
And now investment money is coming home to the wallets of
Wall Street moguls, its real masters. They have decided it is more secure to
place their money in US Treasury bonds for the moment.
Despite the colossal public debt, investors have faith that US
will not declare bankruptcy for now. If this ever happened the US would loose
its dominate status as a reserve currency, and weaken Washington's political
hegemony of the globe.
Even though other currencies like the Chinese yuan have
expanded their influence, faith in the US dollar has not weakened since the GFC
crisis of 2008. Consequently there has been a fall of the emerging countries
stock markets and exchange rates.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) asked the US to not
increase its federal funds rate until 2016 or later, to forestall the
increasing global financial panic.
So now this money will be assembled and employed to create
acquisitions and mergers of US enterprises, as opposed to massively increase
production and reduce unemployment. US finance houses and banks have increased
their levels of money capital through mainly speculative ventures in the stock
market and less to supplying credit to small and medium business.
The rise in the federal funds rate will have a negative
effect on small banks. When these small banks become fully loaned up, by lending
to businesses and consumers in their community, and are in need of extra
reserves to meet their reserve conditions, they will have to borrow from a
larger bank with excess reserves.
Therefore the interest rate rise results in the smaller
banks paying more for their loans to the big banks. Consequently the Federal
Reserve favours the mega-banks who have mega reserves and predatorily exploit
the small banks, businesses and consumers.
Central banks have differences but not over exploiting workers
In contrast to the US plans of steadily raising the cost of
credit, Europe and Japan are organising to commence an aggressive boost to
their of credit programs. There is no consensus among the three strongest
central banks on how monetary policies should be used to overcome the global
recession.
This was evident in the Group of 20 (G20) summit, held
November this year in Antalya, Turkey. Therefore the certainty that instability
of the financial markets will not decrease, but will rise for some time to
come.
However, agreement was found among the G20 principal looters
of the world to increase and hone their exploitation of their respective
working classes via ever improving structural reforms. Although reforms to
regulate financial activities of hedge funds and corporate tax evasion are slow
to amount to anything and lack any real bite.
The money capital paradises that the masters (whether it be
in Berlin, Brussels, London, Paris, Tokyo, or New York) of the financial
universe operate are presently secure and their rules unassailable. The central
banks, such as the Federal Reserve, rapacious policies actually subsidize the
expansion of speculative and parasitic financial activities of hedge funds and
derivatives.
The administration of near to free credit to investors
produced boon profits and another transfer of wealth from the bottom to the
extreme top, and has created another new debt and credit crisis that threatens
to again cause the collapse of the capitalist financial system.
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