Max O
The United States has recently suffered a
major setback in its opposition to the Chinese initiated Asian Infrastructure
Investment Bank (AIIB). The European powers of Britain, France, Germany, Italy
have abandoned the Obama administration’s prohibition of the AIIB and will now
join up, demonstrating the US is no longer the undisputed financial global
power which it enforced through institutions like the World Bank and the IMF
over the last 70 years.
With Europe breaching the US imposed ban,
Australia now feels safe to also join the AIIB. But only after Prime Minister
Abbott personally explains Australia's position to US President Obama before it
is ratified by the LNP government cabinet, as a client state should before
leaving its master's orbit.
Strategic versus the commercial
Why such assertive behaviour from allies and
client states? The uni-polar world order that the US envisaged under American
tutelage is disappearing and its power can only be sustained
politically/militarily not economically.
European countries, Australia, South Korea
and possibly Japan are enticed to join the AIIB for sound capitalist commercial
reasons. America's allies can either obediently back up US strategic objectives
and get nothing in return, or seek out valuable economic opportunities through
the AIIB.
They have chosen their immediate commercial
self-interest. One area of economic disagreement was the Obama administration’s
attempts to refuse credit through the World Bank and IMF to countries like
India for use on a new generation of coal-fired electricity power stations.
Obama's position against funding coal powered
electricity stations, because of its contribution to global warming, has caused
friction with countries who want to join the AIIB so as to fund this cheap
energy generation. In contrast the AIIB is more likely to be disposed to the
appeals of nations such as India.
Japanese industry is eager to sell their
"ultra-super-critical coal-fired" electricity generator systems,
which burn brown coal more 'efficiently', to countries such as India and have
impatiently pushed for Tokyo to join the AIIB. The expansion of coal-fired
power stations would be a windfall for Australia's coal exporters and a shot in
the arm to the waning Japanese economy.
The AIIB offers a silver lining to Australia
and Japan who wish to see developing countries take up coal powered generation.
Japan and Australia have united at international forums to oppose the US
campaign of no lending to those nations seeking cheap 'efficient' coal-fired
generation.
If you can't beat them, join them!
The US, facing noncompliance from allies who
wish to sign up to the Chinese backed infrastructure bank, now proposed that
the AIIB work in cooperation with the Washington approved World Bank and the
Asian Development Bank. As Murdoch's Australian
newspaper stated on the 24 March, 2015: "The collaborative approach is
designed to steer the new bank towards economic aims of the World's leading
economies (read American) and away from becoming an instrument of Beijing's
foreign policy."
The AIIB's potential to promote new
coalitions and bypass American dominated financial institutions, such as the
World Bank and IMF, is the US's over-riding fear as its crucial allies sign up
to China's epoch-making infrastructure bank. The US administration wants to use
their banking institutions to co-finance projects with Beijing's initiated bank
so it can have a hand in the deliberations of the AIIB and also support American
companies to bid on the new bank's projects.
To use their lexicon "co-finance"
is an attempt to ensure that the AIIB will complement rather than compete with
the World Bank, IMF, OECD and the Asian Development Bank. With 188 member
nations, the World Bank is the leading international financial institution and
the US has consistently opposed China's wish to increase its influence within
it.
US strategic control depends now on military not economic
power
The China-sponsored AIIB is another blow to
the US economic dominance of the Asia-Pacific region and is motivation for
their “Pivot to Asia” strategy to maintain their hegemony. The weakening global
economic position of American capitalism over the last couple of decades has
seen its ruling class increasingly willing to rely on the riskier option of
choosing military force to continue its global dominance.
Whilst Australia may dabble with China's AIIB
it dutifully lines up with the US military strategy within the Asia-Pacific
region. It supports the “Pivot to Asia” by hosting 2500 US Marines in Darwin,
numerous US military bases and regularly participates in US aggressive wars in
the Middle East.
The phenomenal growth of Chinese capital over
the last three decades has shown that economic domination of Asia is up for
grabs. This is reflected in the opportunism of important US allies such as
Britain, an economy that is more and more dependent on the parasitic and
speculative activities of its chief finance houses and banks, whose membership of
the AIIB increases British capital’s opportunity to profit from augmenting the
financial role of China's Renminbi currency.
After the Second World War the US became the
unchallengeable economic world power, via the establishment of the World Bank
and the IMF. With the US losing its economic and financial dominance, European
capitalism has now begun to pursue its own self-interest.
As can be observed contradictions are
breaking out all over the place amongst capitalist countries. Consequently
conflicts between major imperialist powers will increase as the global
capitalist economic crisis worsens.
In the pursuit of opportunities for capital
accumulation major capitalist countries will to have to protect their economic
ventures with an increased military posture. The conflict over the AIIB points
to a significant shift in the political and economic centres of gravity that
can only have perilous results in the coming future.
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